“大空头”清仓了!什么信号?

文章来源:华尔街见闻

在二季度发布崩盘的言论后,《大空头》原型迈克尔•伯里言行一致,随即就几乎悉数出清了所持股票。如今在美股空前反弹之际,他再次告诫投资者,不要对最近的美股反弹太过兴奋。

电影《大空头》的原型迈克尔•伯里(Michael Burry)几乎撤离了股市,至第二季度末仅持有一只股票。

迈克尔•伯里因在2008年金融危机前做空美国房市而闻名,近几年他一直在陆续发布悲观的预测,今年5月下旬,迈克尔•伯里发布推文警告类似2008年那样的危机可能重演,一场大规模的市场崩盘即将到来。

当时正值美股“阴云密布”,美联储激进加息以及对衰退的担忧,加剧了投资者的紧张情绪,他们开始从伯里那些关于衰退预测的推文中寻求指引,伯里也因此获得了“recession man”的称号,时隔14年重新翻红。

在发布崩盘的言论后,伯里言行一致,随即就几乎悉数出清了所持股票。

周一,美国证券交易委员会(SEC)披露的一份文件显示,截至6月30日,伯里掌管的对冲基金公司Scion Asset旗下只持有一家公司的股票——私人监狱运营商GEO Group (GEO)。

GEO的股价闻讯上涨了11%。该公告显示,截至第二季度末,Scion持有330万股该公司的股票。

之前的公告显示,截至3月底,Scion持有价值超过1.65亿美元的股票,包括Alphabet (GOOGL)、Booking Holdings (BKNG)、Meta Platforms (META)和百时美(Bristol Myers-Squibb, BMY)。

上周,美股的反弹达到了又一个里程碑,纳指较6月中旬触及的低点上涨超过20%,结束了自2008年以来持续时间最长的一轮熊市。

但伯里再次告诫投资者,不要对最近的美股反弹太过兴奋,因为股市在触底之前都会出现很多次暂时性的反弹。

他指出:“2000年之后,指数在累计下跌78%至2002年低点的过程中,曾七次出现这种的情形。”

他发推文称,在1929年、1968年、2000年市场上出现过的导致巨大泡沫的“愚蠢”感觉,已经消失了。

但类似安然公司事件、911事件、世通事件前的那种“愚蠢”感觉却死灰复燃。世通事件指的是互联网泡沫破灭前,世通公司的会计丑闻,反映出当时电信行业的躁动。

风险提示及免责条款

市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议,也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资,责任自负。

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